The question is whether Congress will just slash money arbitrarily, the salami-slicing that Gates fears, or whether it—and the team that Gates' presumptive successor, Leon Panetta, puts together—will restore the art of military-budget analysis.
Gates did a fair bit of this in his time. He halted the F-22 not just because it was an expensive Cold War relic but because his analysts noticed that the Air Force's justification for continuing to build more planes was deeply flawed.
At the time, the Air Force already had 183 of these planes. Its senior officers wanted to build a total of 387. Yet their case for this expansion, laid out in internal briefing books, assumed that the United States would someday fight two wars simultaneously against two foes with just as much air power as we have. It also assumed that a large percentage of the F-22s would be in routine maintenance depots when the wars started—i.e., that the two foes would coordinate a surprise attack.
The unstated implication was that if the attacks did not come as a surprise, and if we therefore had more of the F-22s online and ready to go, we wouldn't need quite so many planes to begin with. And if we were willing to let go of the premise that two comparably powerful nations (a resurgent Russia and a much more powerful China?) would go to war against us simultaneously, the 183 F-22s that we already had—in addition to the many other planes in the arsenal—would be plenty.
in a Slate item on DefSec Robert Gates getting out again, & future defense spending. We doubt the colossal waste, fraud & abuse that is the so-called defense (& spying on Americans & everybody else) budget will ever be stopped or even significantly reduced; any reductions will probably be done by Congressional bullshit artists chirping that they've "cut defense expenditures yada %," w/o mention of the side effects. Gates did a fair bit of this in his time. He halted the F-22 not just because it was an expensive Cold War relic but because his analysts noticed that the Air Force's justification for continuing to build more planes was deeply flawed.
At the time, the Air Force already had 183 of these planes. Its senior officers wanted to build a total of 387. Yet their case for this expansion, laid out in internal briefing books, assumed that the United States would someday fight two wars simultaneously against two foes with just as much air power as we have. It also assumed that a large percentage of the F-22s would be in routine maintenance depots when the wars started—i.e., that the two foes would coordinate a surprise attack.
The unstated implication was that if the attacks did not come as a surprise, and if we therefore had more of the F-22s online and ready to go, we wouldn't need quite so many planes to begin with. And if we were willing to let go of the premise that two comparably powerful nations (a resurgent Russia and a much more powerful China?) would go to war against us simultaneously, the 183 F-22s that we already had—in addition to the many other planes in the arsenal—would be plenty.
Rather than take the easy way out and "salami slice" a certain percentage of all costs off the top, a technique sure to leave a "hollowed-out" force (plenty of troops and weapons but too little money for operations, maintenance, or training), Gates said the Congress, the president, and the American people must make conscious choices of what military missions to forgo and what level of risk to accept.
It's a good point, and I think it's also Gates' way of saying that he's relieved to be leaving this job—not just for all the reasons that he's mentioned or implied already (he's tired, he's been at this for longer than he'd intended, he hates Washington, he yearns to retire to his two nice houses in the Pacific Northwest), but also because he's reached the end of his comfort zone when it comes to slashing the defense budget.
Bring on the machetes!
It's a good point, and I think it's also Gates' way of saying that he's relieved to be leaving this job—not just for all the reasons that he's mentioned or implied already (he's tired, he's been at this for longer than he'd intended, he hates Washington, he yearns to retire to his two nice houses in the Pacific Northwest), but also because he's reached the end of his comfort zone when it comes to slashing the defense budget.
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